A2 - probability defined on events
- in a sample space
, the probability of event is given by , which is the probability that the outcome of the experiment lies in the set
the three probability axions
- non-negativity:
- additivity: if
is a countable sequence of events with , then
- normalisation:
- if
- also:
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the above inequality only becomes an equality if
and are mutually exclusive -
consider throwing a dart equally likely to land anywhere in the interval
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let
be the probability that it lands exactly at 0.3 -
then the probability of landing at any rational point would also be
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since they are mutually exclusive events, their probabilities should add, which ends up being greater than one, contradicting
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thus,
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note that